Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 9

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Centenario Ciudad de Quilmes (Quilmes)

Referee: Delbarba J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Quilmes		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.8	4.1	Watch
	2.1	2.81	4.3	Watch
	2	2.88	4.2
	2.04	2.99	4.08	Watch
	2.1	2.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.21)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	4.15 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Primera Nacional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Quilmes
45.1%

Draw
32.4%

Racing de Córdoba
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.2%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Racing de Córdoba (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing de Córdoba (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Torrent F. 2. Aranda G. 6. Flores F. 3. Vangioni L. 10. Machado C. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 11. Allende L. 8. Mino M. 7. Belinetz O. 9. Herrera E.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Abello D. 3. Ferrero G. 8. Machado M. 10. Diaz G. 5. Rostagno G. 11. Fernandez L. (C) 7. Vignolo J. 9. Chavarria P.
Substitutes
14. Bindella A. 20. Capano J. 19. Coronel J. 18. Enrique M. 12. Gagliardo M. (G) 16. Kalinski E. 13. Perez F. 15. Postigo J. 17. Roseti M.	19. Barrios L. 12. Maslovski M. (G) 16. Monticelli F. 17. Oyola A. I. 13. Perales V. 15. Rivero B. 18. Sanchez G. 14. Tossen F. 20. Villegas L.
Coaches
Rondina S.	Cochas D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Torrent F. ⚽,
30', Glellel E. 🟨,
45+2', Ferrero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vangioni L. ↓, Bindella A. ↑,
46', Ferrero G. ↓, Oyola A. I. ↑,
51', Machado C. 🟨,
55', Belinetz O. 🟨,
64', Chamorro R. 🟨,
64', Herrera E. ↓, Kalinski E. ↑,
65', Chamorro R. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
73', Mino M. ↓, Roseti M. ↑,
77', Ramirez I. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Kalinski E. ⚽,
85', Kalinski E. 🟨,
85', Belinetz O. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
85', Machado C. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
87', Diaz G. 🟨,
88', Vignolo J. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑,
88', Chavarria P. ↓, Barrios L. ↑,
89', Diaz G. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
90+1', Cochas D. 🟨,
90+3', Monti L. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Enrique M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Quilmes is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Racing de Córdoba is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Quilmes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Quilmes is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Quilmes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Quilmes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.03.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Quilmes	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Quilmes - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.03.25	Central Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.03.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Quilmes	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Quilmes - All Boys	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 LWWWW
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Colegiales - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	All Boys - Racing de Córdoba	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.09.24	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	1:0
28.04.24	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	1:0
15.10.23	Quilmes - Racing de Córdoba	1:2
05.06.23	Racing de Córdoba - Quilmes	0:1

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