Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 6

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Gil J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Alvarado		Club Almagro

	1	X	2
	2	3	4.1	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4
	2.05	2.95	4	Watch
	2.02	2.92	4.26
	2.05	2.92	4.28	Watch
	2	2.88	4.2
	2	2.89	4.24
	2.05	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	4.14 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alvarado
45.9%

Draw
31.7%

Club Almagro
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

31.3%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Club Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Alvarado - Club Almagro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Blasi B. (C) 6. Monzon L. 3. Gorgerino C. 8. Gobetto J. 5. Mansilla M. 10. Russo F. 7. Castellano A. 9. Ortiz D. 11. Amilivia T.	1. Gonzalez E. (G) 4. Garcia M. 2. Vitale J. 6. Busto L. 3. Gancedo M. 8. Castro T. 5. Jerez Silva L. 10. Quiroga F. 7. Dornell T. 9. Cucchi P. 11. Gonzalez A.
Substitutes
15. Ascacibar J. 18. Bergara M. 20. Bolzicco T. 17. Borgnino M. 12. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 13. James J. 16. Martinez Candia C. A. 19. Martinez E. 14. Ortale M.	12. Barrionuevo L. (G) 16. Chaves A. 17. Diosquez N. 15. Jonnaz G. 18. Lattanzio C. 19. Orlando J. 13. Pinto M. 14. Rios R. 20. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Matteo A.	Sparapani L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Quiroga F. ⚽, Castro T. (A),
34', Garcia M. 🟨,
35', Vitale J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Werro V. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
61', Russo F. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
67', Cucchi P. ↓, Chaves A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽, Gobetto J. (A),
76', Ortiz D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
76', Castellano A. ↓, Bergara M. ↑,
79', Dornell T. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
79', Quiroga F. ↓, Lattanzio C. ↑,
79', Lattanzio C. 🟨,
82', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
87', Gobetto J. ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
90+3', Gonzalez A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Almagro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alvarado is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Alvarado won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.25	San Miguel - Alvarado	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Alvarado - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
24.02.25	Racing de Córdoba - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Alvarado - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Colegiales - Alvarado	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTT
- Club Almagro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.03.25	Club Almagro - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Club Almagro	3:1 ✺
22.02.25	Club Almagro - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Tristán Suárez - Club Almagro	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Club Almagro - San Martín de Tucumán	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.09.23	Club Almagro - Alvarado	1:1
14.05.23	Alvarado - Club Almagro	0:0
28.08.22	Club Almagro - Alvarado	1:0

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