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Current Win Probability
Club America 69.9%
Draw 18.2%
Chivas Guadalajara 11.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.9%
21%
17.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.5%
20.5%
16.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club America has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Club America's performance.
Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chivas Guadalajara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club America than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club America that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Club America - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Panos S. (G) 18. Antonio N. 10. Camberos S. 8. Guerrero I. 25. Gutierrez J. 20. Hernandez N. 16. Karich A. 23. Mejia A. 7. Palacios K. (C) 15. Rodriguez K. 6. Vilamala B.
1. Espino C. (G) 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 14. De La Rosa J. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 8. Jaramillo C. 7. Montero C. (C) 30. Salazar E. 9. Valenzuela G. 17. Villarreal N.
Substitutes
2. Brewster J. 24. Cabanillas Soto A. 17. Garcia M. 22. Luebbert S. 4. Okeke C. 28. Ramos M. 3. Rodriguez K. 19. Saldivar M. 12. Velasco I. (G)
34. Aguirre Z. (G) 19. Delgado D. 15. Esquivias I. 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 4. Guzman K. 18. Hernandez D. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 25. Montoya J. 26. Torres A.
Coaches
Villacampa A.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
10', Villarreal N. 🟨,
26', Camberos S. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Hernandez N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodriguez K. ↓, Okeke C. ↑,
47', Okeke C. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Guerrero I. ⚽,
60', Camberos S. ↓, Luebbert S. ↑,
60', Vilamala B. ↓, Saldivar M. ↑,
63', Villarreal N. ↓, Esquivias I. ↑,
64', De La Rosa J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
69', Valenzuela G. 🟨,
71', Cervantes A. 🟨,
75', Antonio N. ↓, Brewster J. ↑,
75', Guerrero I. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
77', Salazar E. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
83', Castro D. ↓, Delgado D. ↑,
86', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
90+1', Karich A. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 2-0. 2nd leg.
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, America won 2.
America is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guadalajara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, America has had a series of away games.
In this match, America is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that America will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, America won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:23. (average 2.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, America won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:10. (average 2.6:1).
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Panos S. (G) 
Antonio N. 
Karich A. 
Okeke C. 
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