Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Banorte (Mexico City) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Guarneros Lezama A. C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:00	Nu9ve, TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Usa	21:00	TUDN


	Club America		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.31	5.50	6.00
	1.28	5.10	7.50
	1.35	5.41	7.11
	1.35	5.30	7.00	Watch
	1.34	5.35	7.00
	1.33	5.81	6.87	Watch
	1.30	5.40	6.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)	5.41 ↑ (4.9)	6.87 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club America
69.6%

Draw
17%

Pachuca
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

68.9%

18.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

16.1%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club America has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club America than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Club America - Pachuca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Velasco I. (G) 26. Luna K. 2. Isa Haas 15. Rodriguez K. 25. Gutierrez J. 5. Garcia G. 22. Luebbert S. 18. Antonio N. 8. Guerrero I. 10. Camberos S. (C) 17. Geyse	1. Barreras E. (G) 2. Robles K. 8. Minota Y. 17. Caicedo K. 5. Ibarra B. 25. Aline Gomes 16. Sanchez Stickel E. R. 6. Nieto K. 21. Vance M. 9. Corral V. (C) 10. Nicosia N.
Substitutes
11. Avilez A. 1. Espino C. (G) 13. Pineda X. 9. Priscila 28. Ramos M. 30. Riley G. 3. Rodriguez K. 19. Saldivar M. 77. Segura A. 14. Soto A.	13. Eudimilla 33. Flores A. 23. Flores D. 79. Gomez A. 30. Ihezuo C. 22. Lopes C. (G) 32. Martinez A. 7. Orejel J. 35. Valdez Hernandez J. 11. Veloz A.
Coaches
Villacampa A.	Montserrat T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Guerrero I. ⚽, Luebbert S. (A),
20', Ibarra B. ↓, Orejel J. ↑,
28', Sanchez Stickel E. R. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Geyse ⚽, Luna K. (A),
35', 2 - 1, Vance M. ⚽, Nicosia N. (A),
38', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Luebbert S. ↓, Priscila ↑,
53', Guerrero I. 🟨,
57', Nieto K. ↓, Ihezuo C. ↑,
57', Vance M. ↓, Veloz A. ↑,
75', Camberos S. ↓, Saldivar M. ↑,
79', Luna K. 🟨,
84', Geyse 🟨,
87', Veloz A. 🟥,
90+1', Antonio N. ↓, Pineda X. ↑,
90+1', Nicosia N. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
90+1', Luna K. ↓, Ramos M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, America won 3.

America has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pachuca is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

America could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

America holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, America has recorded 12 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:29 (averaging 2.2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for America against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:12 goals (averaging 2.5:1.2 per game).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Women for now

Club America W: 36.14% Pachuca W: 1.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club America Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
02.10.26	Monterrey - Club America	4:3 ✺
28.09.26	Club León - Club America	0:5 ✺
20.09.26	Club America - Atlas	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Club America - Tigres UANL	5:2 ✺
04.09.26	UNAM - Club America	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWTWW
- CF Pachuca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
04.10.26	Pachuca - Toluca	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Pachuca - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Pachuca - Club León	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tijuana - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
24.04.26	Club America - Pachuca	3:2
CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
18.09.25	Club America - Pachuca	1:0
Mexican Liga MX Women
31.08.25	Pachuca - Club America	3:2
12.05.25	Club America - Pachuca	2:0
09.05.25	Pachuca - Club America	3:0
03.02.25	Pachuca - Club America	2:1
12.10.24	Club America - Pachuca	5:0

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