The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pachuca 74.7%
Draw 14.9%
Santos Laguna 10.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
26.9%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.1%
26%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+32.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pachuca's performance.
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Santos Laguna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-30.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pachuca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+19.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santos Laguna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pachuca - Santos Laguna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barreras E. (C) 2. Robles K. 17. Caicedo K. 5. Ibarra B. 8. Minota Y. 25. Aline Gomes 16. Sanchez Stickel E. R. 6. Nieto K. 10. Nicosia N. 30. Ihezuo C. 9. Corral V.
1. Mendoza K. (C) 21. Soto F. 29. Lopez G. 3. Pickard S. 13. Gomez A. 14. Dorantes A. 7. Rodriguez D. 11. De Leon K. 24. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 25. Diaz N. 8. Nabweteme S.
Substitutes
13. Eudimilla 23. Flores D. 26. Garcia P. 18. Gonzalez M. 22. Lopes C. (G) 32. Martinez A. 7. Orejel J. 35. Valdez Hernandez J. 21. Vance M. 11. Veloz A.
26. Arias A. 9. Calvillo S. 6. Ibarra H. 19. Mendez A. 10. Rodriguez K. 12. Rodriguez M. (G) 4. Vaka L.
Coaches
Torres O.
Lazcano J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Aline Gomes ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Nicosia N. ⚽,
25', Gomez A. ↓, Vaka L. ↑,
25', Nabweteme S. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
45+2', 3 - 0, Corral V. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Calvillo S. ↑,
57', De Leon K. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Diaz N. ⚽,
68', Ihezuo C. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
68', Nicosia N. ↓, Eudimilla ↑,
72', Sanchez Stickel E. R. ↓, Valdez Hernandez J. ↑,
79', Diaz N. ↓, Mendez A. ↑,
81', Ibarra B. ↓, Orejel J. ↑,
88', 4 - 1, Garcia P. ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 5.
Pachuca is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Santos Laguna has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Pachuca enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Pachuca has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 37:10 (averaging 2.8:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Pachuca against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 21:3 goals (averaging 3.5:0.5 per game).
Mexico
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Barreras E. (C) 
Caicedo K. 
Aline Gomes 
Nicosia N. 
Ihezuo C. 
Mendoza K. (C) 
Pickard S. 
Nabweteme S. 
Vaka L. 
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