Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Club América U21		Toluca U21

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.52
	2.54	3.33	2.54
	2.6	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)	3.23 ↑ (3.21)	2.55 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club América U21
35.8%

Draw
28.3%

Toluca U21
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.5%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

27.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Club América U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Toluca U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América U21 than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U21 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Club América U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

América U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toluca U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
5	Club America U21	12	4	2	3	3	18:16	19

Last Results with these Odds

Club América U21 - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 35.79%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club América U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
11.04.26	Club América U21 - Cruz Azul U21	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Santos Laguna U21 - Club América U21	0:4 ✺
21.03.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Club América U21	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Club América U21 - Mazatlan U21	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Querétaro U21 - Club América U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWT
- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
12.04.26	Toluca U21 - Atlético San Luis U21	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Toluca U21 - Juárez U21	2:2 ✺
03.03.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Toluca U21	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Toluca U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
08.11.25	Toluca U21 - Club América U21	2:0

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