Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Toluca U21		Guadalajara Chivas U21

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.32	2.7
	2.35	3.33	2.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 (2.38)	3.33 ↑ (3.33)	2.76 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U21
38.8%

Draw
27.8%

Guadalajara Chivas U21
33.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Toluca U21 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Toluca U21 aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalajara Chivas U21 than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Toluca U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Guadalajara U21 (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara U21 (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 🟥,
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Guadalajara U21 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toluca U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
4	Guadalajara Chivas U21	12	5	2	2	3	20:19	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.02.26	Necaxa U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties ✺
13.02.26	Toluca U21 - Tijuana U21	4:2 ✺
07.02.26	Toluca U21 - Cruz Azul U21	3:2 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Puebla U21 - Toluca U21	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL
- Guadalajara Chivas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.02.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Club América U21	1:2 penalties ✺
06.02.26	Mazatlan U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Atlético San Luis U21 - Guadalajara Chivas U21	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Querétaro U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
20.09.25	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - Toluca U21	1:0

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