Match Info

Date: 3 October 2022, Monday


	Club Luján		Argentino de Merlo

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.1	1.71
	4.95	3.1	1.7
	4.5	3.2	1.73
	4.91	3.13	1.7
	4.8	3.2	1.7
	4.8	3.34	1.69
	5.6	3.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (2.81)	3.2 ↑ (2.69)	1.69 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
18.4%

Draw
28.2%

Argentino de Merlo
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

33.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

35.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Luján's form might have worsened.

Argentino de Merlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Merlo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Luján, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Merlo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Club Luján - Argentino de Merlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Club Luján will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Argentino de Merlo: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 2.

Club Luján is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Argentino de Merlo is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Argentino de Merlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Argentino de Merlo is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Club Luján won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
25.09.22	Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján	2:1 ✺
19.09.22	Club Luján - Deportivo Laferrere	1:4 ✺
10.09.22	Victoriano Arenas - Club Luján	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL
- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera C
25.09.22	Argentino de Merlo - Victoriano Arenas	4:1 ✺
18.09.22	Atlético Claypole - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
13.09.22	Argentino de Merlo - Atlas General Rodríguez	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Argentino de Merlo - Liniers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
29.05.22	Argentino de Merlo - Club Luján	0:1
29.08.21	Club Luján - Argentino de Merlo	2:2
13.04.21	Argentino de Merlo - Club Luján	1:3
18.02.20	Club Luján - Argentino de Merlo	1:1
26.08.19	Argentino de Merlo - Club Luján	0:0
29.05.17	Argentino de Merlo - Club Luján	0:2
14.11.16	Club Luján - Argentino de Merlo	0:0

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