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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Merlo 40.2%
Draw 34.3%
Liniers 25.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
32.8%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
31.2%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Liniers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Argentino de Merlo - Liniers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Argentino de Merlo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Liniers will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 11. Jerez T. 3. Lopez V. 6. Maceri B. 9. Martin B. 7. Medina C. 4. Monge L. 10. Salvador A. 8. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E.
1. De Feliche C. (G) 4. Di Motta R. 10. Fernandez G. 2. Formichelli S. 11. Gridel M. 9. Linas M. 6. Lugarzo L. 8. Palacio S. 3. Pereyra E. 7. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Scisci G. 🟨,
39', Lopez F. 🟨,
40', Gridel M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scisci G. ↓, Cipresso F. ↑,
46', Romero L. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
52', 🟨,
57', Jerez T. ↓, Moreira L. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 4.
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
In this match, Argentino de Merlo is a strong favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Merlo - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 41.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Liniers - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 25.42%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.