The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Excursionistas 56.9%
Draw 26.6%
Argentino de Merlo 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.6%
28.5%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
27.6%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.
Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino de Merlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Excursionistas - Argentino de Merlo Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Excursionistas: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 10. Gomez M. 3. Lopez F. 11. Maldonado F. 6. Rodriguez J. 8. Romero L. 7. Salvador A. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 4. Ursino D.
Substitutes
12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 17. Damiolini N. 18. Gimenez W. 16. Lopez M. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 15. Scaramuzzi E. 20. Tellas G.
15. Cohen E. 19. Jerez T. 13. Maceri B. 14. Marcial C. 16. Medina C. 18. Ortiz J. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 17. Paz Sierra L. 20. Sellecchia F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Polvera M. ⚽,
40', Espeche A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lopez F. ↓, Marcial C. ↑,
57', Blanco M. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
57', Alaniz M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Damiolini N. ⚽,
66', Espeche A. ↓, Scaramuzzi E. ↑,
66', Polvera M. ↓, Cardozo M. ↑,
69', Salvador A. ↓, Ortiz J. ↑,
69', Gomez M. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
77', Aguirre D. E. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
77', Zoratti G. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
87', Romero L. ↓, Jerez T. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 0.
Excursionistas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Argentino de Merlo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Excursionistas is considered a favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:21. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Excursionistas
38
22
8
8
59:30
29
74
14
Argentino de Merlo
38
11
11
16
33:39
-6
44
Last Results with these Odds
Excursionistas - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 49.6%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Usa
Watch
#ad
Rodriguez N. (G) 
Gimenez W. 
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
