Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 18

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday


	Club Luján		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
	2	3	3.4
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.04	2.9	3.15
	2	3.1	3.5
	2.1	3.03	3.65
	2	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.99)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	3.45 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
44%

Draw
29.9%

Leandro N. Alem
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

29.6%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

28.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Club Luján - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Floris E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Chimino C. 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Notta D. ⚽,
75', Rojas F. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 0.

Recent matches Club Luján is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leandro N. Alem is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leandro N. Alem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Club Luján will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Club Luján won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
15.05.24	Central Ballester - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Club Luján	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Club Luján - Lugano	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Puerto Nuevo - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWW
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
12.05.24	Leandro N. Alem - Sportivo Barracas	0:2 ✺
06.05.24	Berazategui - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:1 ✺
23.04.24	Justo José de Urquiza - Leandro N. Alem	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
10.10.23	Club Luján - Leandro N. Alem	0:1
29.05.23	Leandro N. Alem - Club Luján	0:0
10.07.22	Club Luján - Leandro N. Alem	1:1
06.03.22	Leandro N. Alem - Club Luján	2:0
22.08.21	Leandro N. Alem - Club Luján	0:0
09.04.21	Club Luján - Leandro N. Alem	0:0
11.12.20	Leandro N. Alem - Club Luján	0:2

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