Match Info

Primera C - Round 8

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: 1 de abril (Buenos Aires)


	Club Luján		Lugano

	1	X	2
	1.85	2.98	4.25
	1.81	2.92	4.31
	1.85	3.06	4.44	Watch
	1.95	2.8	4
	1.94	2.96	4.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.08)	2.94 ↑ (2.92)	4.21 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
48%

Draw
30.6%

Lugano
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

31%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

30.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Club Luján - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Club Luján may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Club Luján could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Club Luján won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Club Luján won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Luján - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 43.47%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
11.04.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Club Luján - Atlético Claypole	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Central Ballester - Club Luján	2:3 ✺
22.03.26	Club Luján - Estrella del Sur	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Club Luján - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLT
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
12.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Centro Español - Lugano	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Lugano - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.09.24	Lugano - Club Luján	1:3
21.04.24	Club Luján - Lugano	2:1

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