Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Leandro N. Alem		Deportivo Paraguayo

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.72	3.25
	2.25	2.67	3.27
	2.4	2.56	3.5	Watch
	2.3	2.7	3.2
	2.36	2.7	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.92)	2.67 ↓ (3.1)	3.35 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leandro N. Alem
39.1%

Draw
33.9%

Deportivo Paraguayo
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

30.2%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leandro N. Alem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leandro N. Alem's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Paraguayo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leandro N. Alem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, ⚽,
53', 3 - 2, ⚽,
59', 4 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 12).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Deportivo Paraguayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leandro N. Alem will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leandro N. Alem won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Leandro N. Alem won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Paraguayo - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.27%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
03.05.26	Puerto Nuevo - Leandro N. Alem	1:4 ✺
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
19.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Central Ballester	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Leandro N. Alem - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Leandro N. Alem	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLT
- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
02.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:3 ✺
20.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
05.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.09.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Leandro N. Alem	2:2
14.04.24	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	1:1
Argentinian Primera D
04.04.17	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	3:0
26.09.16	Deportivo Paraguayo - Leandro N. Alem	1:2
24.05.16	Deportivo Paraguayo - Leandro N. Alem	1:0

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