Match Info

Primera C - Round 14

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: 1 de abril (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Club Luján		Leones de Rosario

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.68	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.64	3.32
	2.37	2.60	3.50	Watch
	2.3	2.5	3.4
	2.3	2.7	3.38
	2.55	2.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.44)	2.65 ↓ (2.74)	3.28 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
38.4%

Draw
34.1%

Leones de Rosario
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

33%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

32.2%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Leones de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Club Luján - Leones de Rosario Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Zapata L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Club Luján is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Leones de Rosario has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Leones de Rosario has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Club Luján - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.07%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
24.05.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Club Luján	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Club Luján - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT
- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
23.05.26	Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Lugano	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Leones de Rosario	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Leones de Rosario - Cañuelas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTTLT

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