Match Info

Primera C - Round 12

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Leones de Rosario		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2	2.92	3.65
	1.93	2.85	3.92
	1.26	5.27	9.83	Watch
	2.05	2.75	3.8
	2.03	2.96	3.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)	4.98 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones de Rosario
51.9%

Draw
28.7%

Lugano
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

30.9%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

30.8%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones de Rosario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leones de Rosario's performance.

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lugano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leones de Rosario than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leones de Rosario that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leones de Rosario - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Vieyra J. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Coselli M. ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, Urruchua G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Vieyra J. ⚽,
55', 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Leones de Rosario will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
09.05.26	Leones de Rosario - Deportivo Yupanqui	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Atlas General Rodríguez - Leones de Rosario	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Leones de Rosario - Cañuelas	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Defensores de Cambaceres - Leones de Rosario	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Leones de Rosario	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTWW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
10.05.26	Lugano - Puerto Nuevo	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	Berazategui - Lugano	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	2:2 ✺
18.04.26	Club Luján - Lugano	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTTT

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