Match Info

Primera C - Round 12

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Deportivo Paraguayo		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.65	2.78	2.1
	3.66	2.73	2.06
	3.85	2.73	2.14	Watch
	3.75	2.63	2.15
	3.78	2.79	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.14)	2.74 ↓ (2.82)	2.14 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Paraguayo
25%

Draw
32.9%

Club Luján
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

32.4%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

32.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Paraguayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Paraguayo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Serra T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', Sogos J. 🟥,
90+3', 0 - 2, Arriola B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 8).

Recent performances by Deportivo Paraguayo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Club Luján is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Deportivo Paraguayo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Club Luján will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Paraguayo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Paraguayo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Paraguayo
Argentinian Primera C
10.05.26	Leandro N. Alem - Deportivo Paraguayo	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Juventud Unida de San Miguel - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:3 ✺
20.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Deportivo Paraguayo	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Sacachispas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LTWTW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
10.05.26	Club Luján - Cañuelas	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Deportivo Muñiz - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Club Luján - Deportivo Español	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Club Luján - Lugano	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Club Luján	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
09.09.25	Club Luján - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0
24.05.25	Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján	1:0
08.07.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Club Luján	0:2
03.02.24	Club Luján - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:1

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