Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 35

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday


	Club Milano		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	4.7	3.7	1.6
	4.99	3.67	1.63	Watch
	4.94	3.75	1.66
	4.7	3.7	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.79 ↑ (4.09)	3.66 ↑ (3.34)	1.62 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Milano
19%

Draw
24.8%

Folgore Caratese
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.3%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

26.4%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore Caratese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Milano than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Club Milano - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Sartorelli M. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Cocola N. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 2 - 1, Cattaneo M. ⚽,
83', 3 - 1, Capone A. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Club Milano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Folgore Caratese is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Folgore Caratese is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Club Milano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Club Milano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Milano
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.04.25	Pro Sesto - Club Milano	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Club Milano - SantAngelo	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Desenzano Calvina - Club Milano	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Club Milano - Chievo	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Varesina - Club Milano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.04.25	Folgore Caratese - Crema	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Pro Sesto - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
01.12.24	Folgore Caratese - Club Milano	2:1
05.05.24	Folgore Caratese - Club Milano	0:0
20.12.23	Club Milano - Folgore Caratese	4:3

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