Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Club Milano		Real Calepina

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.85	2.30
	2.85	3.05	2.25
	2.89	2.69	2.54
	3.06	3.1	2.26	Watch
	2.85	2.65	2.50
	2.92	3.23	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.65)	2.93 ↓ (3.2)	2.38 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Milano
31%

Draw
30.9%

Real Calepina
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

27.4%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Milano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Real Calepina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Milano than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Calepina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Club Milano - Real Calepina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, ⚽,
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14th in the Serie D - Group B (Play Out: ) and 12th).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Real Calepina may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Club Milano has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 1:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Club Milano against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Calepina	9	3	3	3	14:14	0	12
15	Club Milano	9	2	2	5	7:10	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Real Calepina - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Milano
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Tritium - Club Milano	0:1 ✺
04.10.26	Club Milano - Leon	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Club Milano - Virtus Verona	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Chievo - Club Milano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTLL
- Real Calepina
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.10.26	Real Calepina - Villa Valle	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Real Calepina - Leon	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
04.10.26	Rovato Vertovese - Real Calepina	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Calepina - Brusaporto	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Piacenza - Real Calepina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.24	Real Calepina - Club Milano	2:1
12.11.23	Club Milano - Real Calepina	1:1

Club Milano - Real Calepina