The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 16.8%
Draw 27%
CS Alagoano 56.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.6%
26.7%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
26%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Clube Sociedade Esportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Clube Sociedade Esportiva's form might have worsened.
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CS Alagoano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Clube Sociedade Esportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Clube Sociedade Esportiva - CS Alagoano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
(1 - 5)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSE won 1.
Recent performances by CSE have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
CSA is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
CSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, CSA is considered a favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, CSE won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:19. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, CSE won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).