Match Info
Serie D - Round 3Date: 19 April 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Municipal Coaracy da Mata Fonseca (Arapiraca)
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Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense |
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CS Alagoano |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.16 |
2.28 |
3.01 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
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 |
3.22 |
2.3 |
3.08 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.74) |
2.4 ↓
(2.76) |
2.91 ↑
(2.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
30.2% | Draw
38.2% | CS Alagoano
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 0 - 1, Santana R. ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 1, Alex Bruno ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Alex Bruno ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ASA won 2.ASA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).CSA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).CSA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, ASA has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, ASA won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 0.9:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, ASA won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.2:0.9).
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Last Results with these Odds
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - the odds 2.74 are the expected chance of winning is 32.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
CS Alagoano - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Copa Alagoas | | | 01.04.26 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano | 2:3 | | Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano | | | 17.01.26 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano | 0:0 | | 22.02.25 | CS Alagoano - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 1:1 penalties | | 16.02.25 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano | 1:0 | | 01.02.25 | CS Alagoano - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense | 0:0 | | Club Friendly | | | 15.12.24 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano | 0:1 | | Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano | | | 07.02.24 | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - CS Alagoano | 2:0 |
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