Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 13

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Juca Sampaio (Palmeira dos Índios)


	Clube Sociedade Esportiva		Itabaiana

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.27	3.15	3.24
	2.21	3.04	3.26	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3
	2.1	3.2	3.26
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.66)	3.11 ↑ (2.83)	3.11 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clube Sociedade Esportiva
41.6%

Draw
29.2%

Itabaiana
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

32%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

33.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clube Sociedade Esportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clube Sociedade Esportiva's performance.

Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clube Sociedade Esportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Itabaiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, ⚽,
33', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Itabaiana is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Now both teams are in good shape.

CSE will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches CSE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Juazeirense	0:1 ✺
26.06.24	Jacuipense - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:2 ✺
15.06.24	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Sergipe	3:2 ✺
12.06.24	Petrolina - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLWWT
- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie D
07.07.24	Itabaiana - Petrolina	2:0 ✺
03.07.24	Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Sergipe - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Itabaiana - Jacuipense	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Itabaiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.05.24	Itabaiana - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	3:1

Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Itabaiana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide