Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 15 September 2024, SundayLocation: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)
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Itabaiana |
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Retrô Brasil |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.6 |
2.95 |
2.5 |
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2.9 |
2.93 |
2.59 |
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2.88 |
2.83 |
2.58 |
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2.7 |
2.88 |
2.4 |
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2.75 |
2.94 |
2.48 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.77 ↑ (2.25) |
2.91 ↓ (3.1) |
2.51 ↓ (2.9) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Itabaiana 32.7% | Draw 31.2% | Retrô Brasil 36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Itabaiana's form might have worsened.Retrô Brasil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Retrô Brasil's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Retrô Brasil than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Retrô Brasil, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 82', 0 - 1, Giva ⚽,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, Giva (Pen),
- 1, Tiago Souza (Pen),
- 2, Alex Reinaldo (Pen),
- 2, da Conceicao Araujo C. (Pen),
- 3, Radsley (Pen),
- 3, Leo Carvalho (Pen),
- 4, Junior Fialho (Pen),
- 4, Leilson (Pen),
- 5, Alencar (Pen),
- 5, Chiquinho Alagoano (Pen),
- 6, Luisinho (Pen),
- 6, Henrique G. (Pen),
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 08.09.24 | Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana | 0:1 | | 03.07.24 | Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil | 2:1 | | 19.05.24 | Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana | 1:2 | | 25.07.21 | Retrô Brasil - Itabaiana | 2:2 | | 18.07.21 | Itabaiana - Retrô Brasil | 1:2 |
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