Match Info

National League - Championship Group - Round 9

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Tāne Norton Park (Christchurch)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Coastal Spirit		Western Springs

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.95	4.45	1.47	Watch
	4.05	4.44	1.65	Watch
	5.48	4.65	1.42
	4	4.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↓ (5.39)	4.47 ↓ (4.75)	1.54 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coastal Spirit
19.8%

Draw
20.5%

Western Springs
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.9%

19.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

18.5%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coastal Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Western Springs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coastal Spirit than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Springs than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Springs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Coastal Spirit - Western Springs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Grand Final: Final)).

Coastal Spirit is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Western Springs is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Western Springs may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Western Springs is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Coastal Spirit won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coastal Spirit FC
New Zealand National League
14.11.25	Wellington Phoenix 2 - Coastal Spirit	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Coastal Spirit - Miramar Rangers	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Auckland United - Coastal Spirit	3:0 ✺
24.10.25	Coastal Spirit - Christchurch United	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Auckland FC 2 - Coastal Spirit	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLTW
- Western Springs AFC
New Zealand National League
08.11.25	Western Springs - Wellington Phoenix 2	3:0 ✺
31.10.25	Miramar Rangers - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland United	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Christchurch United - Western Springs	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Western Springs - Auckland FC 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand National League
04.10.24	Western Springs - Coastal Spirit	6:2

Coastal Spirit - Western Springs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide