Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 6

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Unión San Felipe

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.95	5.3
	1.54	3.94	6.2
	1.59	4.09	5.09	Watch
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.54	4.13	5.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	3.97 ↑ (3.83)	5.43 ↑ (4.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
59.8%

Draw
23.2%

Unión San Felipe
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.3%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

23.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobreloa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Cobreloa will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 17. Tapia D. 4. San Juan B. 15. Garcia D. 8. Cornejo L. 21. Muga C. 7. Zuniga S. 14. Aranguiz T. 29. Gatica J. 11. Gotti G. (C) 10. Insaurralde C.	12. Canete L. (G) 4. Ramirez M. 19. Serrano K. 2. Perales V. 5. Bravo D. 27. Garcia L. 17. Diaz R. 9. Aravena B. 14. Riveros B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 18. Munoz P.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 5. Gonzalez R. 3. Gonzalez Y. 19. Navarro Y. 13. Quezada A. 27. Sandoval M. 32. Velazco F.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 20. Fontana A. 16. Fuentes D. 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 28. Jara I. 6. Leon A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Cornejo L. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Zuniga S. ⚽,
39', San Juan B. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Aranguiz T. ↓, Velazco F. ↑,
58', Aravena B. ↓, Fontana A. ↑,
58', Bravo D. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
58', Munoz P. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
69', Zuniga S. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
70', Riveros B. 🟨,
75', Ramirez M. ↓, Guajardo Barrera B. ↑,
81', Diaz R. 🟨,
82', Diaz R. ↓, Henriquez O. ↑,
88', Riveros B. 🟨,
88', Canete L. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 0, Sandoval M. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2.

Cobreloa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unión San Felipe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cobreloa is a strong favorite.

We predict that Cobreloa will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.3:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44:27	17	48
15	San Felipe	26	5	7	14	16:44	-28	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.03.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Magallanes	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	5:1 ✺
27.02.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Temuco	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWTW
- Unión San Felipe
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.03.26	Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Deportes Recoleta - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
06.03.26	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Antofagasta	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Unión San Felipe - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Deportes Iquique - Unión San Felipe	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.07.25	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	3:0
23.02.25	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:1
24.09.23	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:0
16.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	2:2
26.09.22	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	1:0
29.04.22	Unión San Felipe - Cobreloa	1:1
16.09.21	Cobreloa - Unión San Felipe	2:1

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