Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 3

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Zorros del Desierto (Calama)


	Cobreloa		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.35	4.15
	1.84	3.51	4.09
	1.82	3.62	4.09	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4
	1.81	3.35	4.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.91)	3.41 ↑ (3.29)	4.07 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobreloa
50.4%

Draw
27%

Curicó Unido
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.9%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

27.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Cobreloa - Curicó Unido Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tapia D. (G) 3. Gonzalez Y. 4. San Juan B. 15. Garcia D. 17. Tapia D. 7. Zuniga S. 14. Aranguiz T. 21. Muga C. 11. Gotti G. (C) 22. Delgado A. 29. Gatica J.	22. Tello D. (G) 4. Colombo R. 14. Medina C. 15. Sanhueza H. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 5. Guisolfo B. 8. Romo J. 28. Ibarra H. 7. Fernandez N. 9. Benegas L. 16. Riveros R.
Substitutes
1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 8. Cornejo L. 5. Gonzalez R. 10. Insaurralde C. 19. Navarro Y. 27. Sandoval M. 32. Velazco F.	13. Bustamante C. 17. Inostroza B. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 21. Ormeno E. 10. Retamales J. 3. Sarria G. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Zuniga S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Gotti G. ⚽,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', 3 - 1, Fernandez N. ⚽,
46', Romo J. ↓, Sarria G. ↑,
46', Retamales J. ↓, Riveros R. ↑,
47', Sarria G. 🟨,
49', 4 - 1, San Juan B. ⚽,
61', Ibarra H. 🟨,
65', Zuniga S. ↓, Insaurralde C. ↑,
65', Delgado A. ↓, Navarro Y. ↑,
66', Sanhueza H. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
71', 5 - 1, Gotti G. ⚽,
77', Benegas L. 🟨,
78', Aranguiz T. ↓, Velazco F. ↑,
80', Benegas L. ↓, Bustamante C. ↑,
89', Gotti G. ↓, Sandoval M. ↑,
89', Gatica J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Curicó Unido may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Cobreloa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cobreloa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobreloa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cobreloa	26	13	9	4	44:27	17	48
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobreloa
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
27.02.26	Deportes Santa Cruz - Cobreloa	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Temuco	3:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Cobreloa - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Deportes Antofagasta - Cobreloa	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TWTLT
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.03.26	San Luis de Quillota - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.02.26	Colchagua - Curicó Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.02.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Magallanes	1:2 ✺
Chilean Cup
08.02.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Curicó Unido - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.11.25	Curicó Unido - Cobreloa	0:2
20.06.25	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	3:2
11.02.17	Curicó Unido - Cobreloa	5:2
16.10.16	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	0:0
16.01.16	Curicó Unido - Cobreloa	1:1
26.07.15	Cobreloa - Curicó Unido	2:1

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