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Current Win Probability
Unión San Felipe 35.7%
Draw 31.9%
San Marcos de Arica 32.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
28.5%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
28.2%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión San Felipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
50%
25%
Unión San Felipe - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 1 - 25%). San Marcos de Arica will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - San Marcos de Arica (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Marcos de Arica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 27. Garcia L. 19. Serrano K. 2. Perales V. 16. Fuentes D. 6. Leon A. 17. Diaz R. 9. Aravena B. 10. Jara Gonzalez G. A. (C) 14. Riveros B. 18. Munoz P.
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 5. Rivera J. 17. Moya Godoy M. 18. Galleguillos A. 8. Barrios A. 26. Rencoret C. (C) 14. Guerra C. 22. Donadell N. 20. Abalos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
Substitutes
5. Bravo D. 21. Brun N. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 3. Guajardo Barrera B. 7. Henriquez O. 28. Jara I. 4. Ramirez M.
4. Iturra M. 7. Monroy B. 27. Orrego I. 21. Orrego N. 16. Reyes G. 10. Sagredo B. 1. Saracho R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Melivilu Fuentes C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fuentes D. ↓, Bravo D. ↑,
51', Tapia B. 🟨,
56', Diaz R. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
56', Aravena B. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
57', Abalos A. ↓, Sagredo B. ↑,
62', Barrios A. 🟥,
69', Riveros B. ↓, Brun N. ↑,
71', Galleguillos A. 🟨,
72', Donadell N. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
73', Perales V. 🟨,
73', Rivera J. 🟨,
81', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Monroy B. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Munoz P. ⚽,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 2.
Unión San Felipe has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Marcos de Arica has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1:0.6).
Watch
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Canete L. (G) 
Perales V. 
Brun N. 
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