Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Verapaz (Cobán)


	Cobán Imperial		Deportivo Guastatoya

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.20	4.33
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.81	3.37	4.47
	1.8	3.46	4.47	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.4
	1.74	3.55	4.7
	1.76	3.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.33 ↑ (3.15)	4.4 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cobán Imperial
51.8%

Draw
27.5%

Deportivo Guastatoya
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

28.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.6%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cobán Imperial has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Deportivo Guastatoya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Guastatoya than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cobán Imperial will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Casas T. (G) 8. Alvarez Y. 17. Cabrera A. 10. Calabrese B. 14. De Leon L. 28. Janderson 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 20. Paredes S. 4. Thales 2. Torres D. 19. Valdez K.	1. Escobar R. (G) 7. Almanza J. 22. Avalos V. 33. Contreras A. 6. Estrada J. 32. Lemus B. 18. Lovato N. 15. Morales H. 16. Ramirez C. 10. Sequen M. 44. Yori E.
Substitutes
22. Aldana B. 9. Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. . Moreira M. 23. Romero J. (G) 18. Rosas L. 30. Soto E. 16. Teni S. 6. Winter C.	8. Aguilar Y. 88. Alvarado C. 23. Armas V. 19. Garrido S. 30. Hernandez B. (G) 17. Lon A. . Macal L. 35. Palencia E. 13. Tejeda A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Almanza J. 🟨,
39', Valdez K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valdez K. ↓, Aldana B. ↑,
46', Alvarez Y. ↓, Rosas L. ↑,
52', Calabrese B. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
53', Paredes S. ↓, Winter C. ↑,
57', Ramirez C. ↓, Lon A. ↑,
58', Lovato N. 🟨,
60', 🟨,
61', Cabrera A. 🟨,
63', Sequen M. ↓, Alvarado C. ↑,
63', Contreras A. ↓, Aguilar Y. ↑,
71', Lovato N. ↓, Armas V. ↑,
71', Avalos V. ↓, Tejeda A. ↑,
75', De Leon L. ↓, Moreira M. ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Aguilar Y. ⚽,
90+2', Yori E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 2.

Recent form of Cobán Imperial has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guastatoya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cobán Imperial is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cobán Imperial won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 13:24. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Cobán Imperial won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guastatoya	12	8	1	3	19:13	6	25
9	Coban Imperial	12	3	4	5	15:18	-3	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cobán Imperial - the odds 1.74 are the expected chance of winning is 51.1%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
28.08.26	Suchitepéquez - Cobán Imperial	3:2 ✺
23.08.26	Marquense - Cobán Imperial	2:1 ✺
19.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Mixco	3:2 ✺
09.08.26	Municipal - Cobán Imperial	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Deportivo Guastatoya
Guatemala Liga Nacional
29.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Marquense	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Guastatoya	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Municipal	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Malacateco	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
12.04.26	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	1:1
21.02.26	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	2:0
04.10.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	2:1
27.07.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	0:1
02.04.25	Cobán Imperial - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:0
30.01.25	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	4:0
24.11.24	Deportivo Guastatoya - Cobán Imperial	2:0

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