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Current Win Probability
Coimbra U20 22.4%
Draw 25.8%
Atlético Mineiro U20 51.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
24.1%
50.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.5%
23.3%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coimbra U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Atlético Mineiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coimbra U20 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro U20 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Coimbra U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Barbosa N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, ⚽,
58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
81', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-5.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Mineiro U20 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Mineiro U20 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Coimbra U20 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlético MG U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Atlético MG U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Atlético MG U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Coimbra U20 has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:12 (averaging 1.8:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Coimbra U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).