Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 18

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Espinoza F. (Arg)


	Colón		Central Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.4
	2.15	3.2	3.6
	2.14	3.29	3.81
	2.15	3.1	3.5
	2.08	3.34	3.6	Watch
	2.11	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	3.27 ↓ (3.28)	3.57 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
44.5%

Draw
28.9%

Central Córdoba
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

28.6%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

27.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Central Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colón than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	19.2%	11.5%

Colón - Central Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Central Córdoba will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 51.5% – 86.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Chicco I. (G) 21. Meza E. 33. Garces F. 2. Acevedo L. 34. Moreyra S. 14. Perlaza B. 27. Chicco J. 40. Delgado R. 22. Alvarez J. 30. Pierotti S. 9. Abila R.	1. Ledesma M. (G) 17. Blasi B. 2. Pereyra F. 29. Canto G. 16. Benitez M. 44. Farioli B. 23. Kalinski E. 25. Maciel L. 77. Besozzi L. 18. Gamba L. 12. Rius C.
Substitutes
26. Arrua C. 10. Farias F. 19. Galvan T. 12. Ibanez M. (G) 36. Nardelli G. 7. Neris P. 29. Picco L. 4. Schott A. 28. Teuten A. 16. Troncoso L. 5. Vega C.	27. Cansinos R. 20. Castelli F. 14. Goni G. 19. Jourdan F. 9. Leguizamon N. 22. Mansilla M. (G) 4. Navas J. 31. Olguin G. 8. Soraire J. 11. Torres G. 6. Valdez S. 30. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Gorosito N.	Madelon L.

Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 24 (8.27%), project points - 30, currently - 18, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Central Córdoba has the most likely position - 26 (9.21%), project points - 30, currently - 19, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colón won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Central Córdoba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Colón will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Colón: Benitez J. (Injury) Farias F. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury)

There will not play in Central Córdoba: Laba M. (Injury) Leguizamon N. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Colón won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.05.23	Colón - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Colón - Banfield	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Colón - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWLW
- Central Córdoba de Santiago del Estero
Copa Argentina
24.05.23	Central Córdoba - Comunicaciones	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.23	Central Córdoba - Unión Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
15.05.23	Barracas Central - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
08.05.23	Central Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Instituto Córdoba - Central Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.22	Central Córdoba - Colón	3:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
22.02.22	Central Córdoba - Colón	0:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.21	Colón - Central Córdoba	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.21	Central Córdoba - Colón	0:3
04.12.20	Central Córdoba - Colón	0:2
16.11.20	Colón - Central Córdoba	2:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.01.20	Central Córdoba - Colón	1:0

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