Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 21 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Brigadier General Estanislao López (Santa Fe)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)


	Colón		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.1
	1.9	3.3	4.5
	1.93	3.35	4.61
	1.8	3.3	4.75
	1.89	3.48	4.15	Watch
	1.84	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	3.38 ↑ (3)	4.45 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colón
50.7%

Draw
28%

Barracas Central
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

29%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Colón - Barracas Central Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Colón will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Barracas Central will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colón: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Colón has the most likely position - 23 (7.35%), project points - 31, currently - 17, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Barracas Central has the most likely position - 25 (9.15%), project points - 29, currently - 18, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

Barracas Central could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barracas Central have a series of home games.

In this match Colón is a favorite.

There will not play in Colón: Benitez J. (Injury) Farias F. (Injury) Ibanez J. (Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Cantero A. (Injury) Centurion R. (Injury) Dominguez Ansorena A. (Injury) Florentin F. (Injury) Juarez A. (Injury) Lopez L. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Colón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.05.23	Instituto Córdoba - Colón	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Colón - Banfield	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
26.04.23	Colón - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.04.23	Colón - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWLWW
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.05.23	Barracas Central - Central Córdoba	2:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
10.05.23	Barracas Central - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.05.23	Barracas Central - Instituto Córdoba	3:0 ✺
29.04.23	Banfield - Barracas Central	0:0 ✺
24.04.23	Barracas Central - Defensa y Justicia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.22	Barracas Central - Colón	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
26.02.22	Colón - Barracas Central	2:1

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