Match Info

Date: 28 November 2021, Sunday


	Colchagua		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.35	3.6	1.8
	4	3.3	1.78
	4.05	3.68	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.54)	3.55 ↓ (3.74)	1.79 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colchagua
24.2%

Draw
25.4%

Deportes Recoleta
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

24.3%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

19.2%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colchagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Deportes Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchagua than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B).

Colchagua is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Recoleta in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Deportes Recoleta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Colchagua won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colchagua
Chilean Segunda Division
17.11.21	Deportes Colina - Colchagua	4:1 ✺
07.11.21	Deportes Valdivia - Colchagua	2:2 ✺
31.10.21	Colchagua - Rodelindo Román	2:0 ✺
25.10.21	San Antonio Unido - Colchagua	2:1 ✺
16.10.21	Colchagua - Iberia Los Ángeles	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTWLL
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Segunda Division
14.11.21	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Limache	2:0 ✺
08.11.21	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
30.10.21	Deportes Recoleta - Iberia Los Ángeles	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	0:1 ✺
16.10.21	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Valdivia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
23.08.21	Deportes Recoleta - Colchagua	2:1
13.12.20	Deportes Recoleta - Colchagua	4:0

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