Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Municipal Leonel Sánchez Lineros (Recoleta)


	Deportes Recoleta		Deportes Limache

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.25	3.4	2.95	Watch
	2.41	3.35	3.04
	2.41	3.13	3.04
	2.25	3.25	2.8
	2.32	3.29	2.89	Watch
	2.19	3.3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (1.93)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	2.92 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Recoleta
40.4%

Draw
28.1%

Deportes Limache
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

26.8%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Recoleta's form might have worsened.

Deportes Limache has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Limache's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Recoleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Limache than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Limache, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Limache Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salvador J. (G) 27. Servetti C. 13. Cornejo F. 18. Cepeda C. 14. Lara I. 8. Martin F. (C) 17. Carvajal N. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 20. Campos V. 9. Estigarribia G. 16. Riveros R.	25. Alvarez M. (G) 24. Morales C. 2. Moreira R. 5. Silva F. (C) 11. Fritz F. 8. Cabrera Figueroa L. 10. Cesped A. 7. Juarez F. 23. Tarifeno R. 9. Da Silva N. 27. Abuhadba Z.
Substitutes
21. Marin C. 25. Narr J. (G) 23. Navarro C. 15. Ponce C. 10. Ragusa F. 26. Vasquez V. 11. Viveros D.	12. Abarzua F. (G) 18. Avello G. 19. Castro D. 4. Escobar Acuna R. A. 17. Flores F. 20. Jara A. 14. Mundaca K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Juarez F. ⚽,
27', Cabrera Figueroa L. 🟨,
27', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Riveros R. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
51', Da Silva N. 🟨,
60', Abuhadba Z. ↓, Flores F. ↑,
60', Cabrera Figueroa L. ↓, Escobar Acuna R. A. ↑,
67', Campos V. ↓, Navarro C. ↑,
67', 0 - 2, Flores F. ⚽,
67', Da Silva N. ↓, Avello G. ↑,
69', Servetti C. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
69', Salinas Aguilar O. ↓, Marin C. ↑,
75', Silva F. ↓, Mundaca K. ↑,
75', Cesped A. ↓, Castro D. ↑,
83', Carvajal N. ↓, Vasquez V. ↑,
84', 0 - 3, Castro D. ⚽,
86', Moreira R. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportes Recoleta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Recoleta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
07.04.24	Deportes Recoleta - San Marcos de Arica	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	0:2 ✺
23.03.24	Deportes Recoleta - Curicó Unido	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
08.03.24	Deportes Recoleta - Barnechea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWL
- Deportes Limache
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.04.24	Deportes Limache - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Unión San Felipe - Deportes Limache	2:3 ✺
24.03.24	Deportes Limache - Universidad de Concepción	0:1 ✺
15.03.24	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Limache	0:5 ✺
08.03.24	Deportes Limache - Rangers de Talca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
28.03.22	Deportes Limache - Deportes Recoleta	2:1
Chilean Segunda Division
14.11.21	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Limache	2:0
15.08.21	Deportes Limache - Deportes Recoleta	3:0

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