Match Info

CHILE: Liga de Ascenso - Round 3

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes Recoleta

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.22	3.25	3.1
	2.17	3.25	3.31
	2.2	3.27	3.28	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.13	3.3	3.23
	2.22	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.53)	3.23 ↓ (3.23)	3.11 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
41.8%

Draw
28.5%

Deportes Recoleta
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

28.3%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Concepción's performance.

Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Recoleta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Deportes Concepción - Deportes Recoleta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Munoz J. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 17. Fernandez C. 5. Silva S. (C) 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 8. Manzo F. 10. Nunez F. 11. Valdivia B. 27. Sepulveda N. 9. Escobar C. 32. Larrivey J.	22. Vargas J. (G) 5. Hernandez A. 14. Lara I. 18. Cepeda C. 11. Viveros D. 8. Martin F. (C) 10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 20. Lemmo I. 9. Estigarribia G. 28. Fuenzalida I.
Substitutes
25. Araya N. (G) 13. Cornejo F. 7. Gillard A. 22. L’Huillier N. 14. Martinez S. 23. Ojeda U. 19. Tello Mery G.	12. Alvarado F. 6. Espinoza G. 1. Narr J. (G) 16. Salazar D. 19. Salinas Aguilar O. 27. Servetti C. 37. Valdes B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Hernandez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Viveros D. 🟨,
60', Manzo F. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
66', Munoz J. ↓, Araya N. ↑,
66', Fuenzalida I. ↓, Salinas Aguilar O. ↑,
66', Valdivia B. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
68', Estigarribia G. 🟨,
70', Cepeda C. 🟨,
76', Arguinarena M. ↓, Espinoza G. ↑,
83', Sepulveda N. ↓, Tello Mery G. ↑,
83', Escobar C. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
85', Lara I. 🟨,
90', Carvajal N. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 1, Martin F. ⚽,
90+1', Silva S. 🟨,
90+3', Salinas Aguilar O. 🟨,
90+4', Tello Mery G. 🟨,
90+6', Salinas Aguilar O. 🟨,
90+9', Vargas J. 🟨,

Preview

Recoleta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Deportes Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.03.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0 ✺
Chilean Segunda Division
31.10.24	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Concepción	1:0 penalties ✺
20.10.24	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWLW
- Deportes Recoleta
Chilean Cup
04.03.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.02.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Recoleta	3:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.02.25	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Magallanes	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Deportes Recoleta - Universidad de Chile	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
24.10.21	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Recoleta	0:1
25.07.21	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción	2:1
06.02.21	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Concepción	2:2

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