Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Colegiales		Fénix

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.1	4.75
	1.72	3.3	5
	1.7	3.28	4.26
	1.73	3.42	4.57	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.57	3.62	5.98
	1.72	3.3	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.6)	5.01 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
54.1%

Draw
27.6%

Fénix
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.2%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

24.8%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Colegiales - Fénix Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Colegiales will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Fénix will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Piccioni S. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Machado M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Super final: Final) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 1.

Recent matches Colegiales is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fénix is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Colegiales is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Colegiales won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegiales won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera B
15.09.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Colegiales - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Cañuelas - Colegiales	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Colegiales - Deportivo Laferrere	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Deportivo Merlo - Colegiales	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
16.09.24	Fénix - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:0 ✺
08.09.24	Deportivo Flandria - Fénix	1:0 ✺
04.09.24	Fénix - Villa San Carlos	0:0 ✺
23.08.24	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	3:0 ✺
19.08.24	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
06.05.24	Fénix - Colegiales	0:3
09.10.23	Fénix - Colegiales	1:1
03.06.23	Colegiales - Fénix	1:2
06.08.22	Fénix - Colegiales	4:0
09.04.22	Colegiales - Fénix	0:1
14.08.21	Colegiales - Fénix	0:1
03.04.21	Fénix - Colegiales	3:4

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