Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 13

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio La Ciudadela (Tucuman)

Referee: Balino J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	San Martín de Tucumán		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.75	2.88	6.5	Watch
	1.8	3	4.75
	1.79	2.85	5.8	Watch
	1.8	2.88	7.7
	1.78	2.76	7.12	Watch
	1.75	3.1	5
	1.74	2.89	6.79	Watch
	1.78	2.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.55)	2.9 ↓ (3.65)	6.21 ↓ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Martín de Tucumán
52.7%

Draw
32.2%

Colegiales
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

25.5%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24.6%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Tucumán's form might have worsened.

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Tucumán, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

San Martín de Tucumán - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Colegiales will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for San Martin T: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sand D. (G) 4. Murillo F. 2. Rodriguez G. 6. Osores M. 3. Zuliani H. 5. Abregu G. 8. Garcia M. 10. Hachen G. 7. Garcia F. 11. Esquivel J. 9. Pino M.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Strasorier S. 6. Martinez L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Montiel F. 5. Marin F. 7. Marra L. 11. Garcia B. 9. Gordillo L. 10. Robaldo V.
Substitutes
16. Cainelli N. 12. Carrizo N. (G) 13. Orellana J. 19. Paz A. 18. Prokop A. 14. Quiroz F. 15. Soraire J. 17. Vera U. 20. Veron M.	15. Almada T. 14. Cancio J. 20. Franco N. 17. Lioi A. 13. Rodriguez M. 12. Rojas J. (G) 18. Torres L. 19. Villalba G.
Coaches
Martos A.	Fernandez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Strasorier S. 🟨,
43', Marin F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia M. ↓, Soraire J. ↑,
46', Marra L. ↓, Villalba G. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽,
61', Robaldo V. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
65', Montiel F. 🟨,
66', Montiel F. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Pino M. ⚽,
71', Gordillo L. 🟨,
71', Zuliani H. 🟨,
79', Esquivel J. ↓, Prokop A. ↑,
80', Pino M. ↓, Veron M. ↑,
85', 🟨,
87', Garcia B. ↓, Lioi A. ↑,
87', Garcia F. ↓, Vera U. ↑,
90+1', Hachen G. ↓, Paz A. ↑,

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, San Martin T is a strong favorite.

We predict that San Martin T will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Including home match between the teams, San Martin T won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Arsenal Sarandí - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - All Boys	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Deportivo Madryn	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWTW
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.25	Colegiales - Güemes	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Patronato Parana - Colegiales	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Colegiales - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Club Almagro - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWWTT

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