Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 3

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium (Buenos Aires)


	Ferrocarril Midland		Colegiales

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.2	6	Watch
	2.5	2.55	3.2
	1.72	3.05	5.5	Watch
	1.79	2.93	6.45
	1.84	2.8	6.16	Watch
	1.75	2.9	5.5
	1.76	2.8	5.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.32)	2.89 ↑ (2.34)	5.51 ↑ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrocarril Midland
50.4%

Draw
32.5%

Colegiales
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

39.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrocarril Midland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrocarril Midland's performance.

Colegiales has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ferrocarril will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leguiza M. (G) 11. Campana A. I. 9. Cao R. 3. Casarico P. 2. Cepeda G. 4. Diaz Laharque L. 8. Flores M. 6. Gonzalez F. 7. Rogoski M. 10. Roseti M. 5. Violini N.	1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 5. Chiavetto A. 3. Hanashiro F. 6. Insua E. 8. Malagueno F. 4. Martinez Montagnoli L. 9. Monserrat R. E. 7. Montiel F. 11. Ocampo E. 2. Rivero F. 10. Trinidad E.
Substitutes
15. Camano J. 16. Frattini M. 12. Garcia Rossi S. (G) 13. Gigli L. 19. Perales J. 14. Porro E. 17. Torancio E. 20. Vega J. 18. Vico L.	13. Aguirre E. 20. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 17. Castillo L. 15. Gonzalez L. 16. Mamani M. 14. Miranda F. 19. Toloza N. 18. Zicarelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Diaz Laharque L. ⚽,
32', Flores M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Trinidad E. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
46', Chiavetto A. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
47', Leguiza M. 🟨,
49', Insua E. 🟨,
63', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
63', Montiel F. ↓, Mamani M. ↑,
63', Insua E. ↓, Miranda F. ↑,
64', Flores M. ↓, Camano J. ↑,
68', Martinez Montagnoli L. 🟨,
71', Cao R. ↓, Vico L. ↑,
71', Campana A. I. ↓, Gigli L. ↑,
72', Casarico P. 🟨,
80', Violini N. ↓, Porro E. ↑,
80', Roseti M. ↓, Frattini M. ↑,
81', Castillo L. 🟨,
83', Ocampo E. 🟨,
84', 2 - 0, Porro E. ⚽,

Preview

Colegiales may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferrocarril will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ferrocarril won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferrocarril Midland
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.02.26	Quilmes - Ferrocarril Midland	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferrocarril Midland	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
21.01.26	Argentinos Juniors - Ferrocarril Midland	1:2 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera B
15.11.25	Deportivo Flandria - Ferrocarril Midland	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.6 TLWLW
- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.02.26	Colegiales - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Colegiales - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Colegiales - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
15.09.24	Ferrocarril Midland - Colegiales	2:1
27.04.24	Colegiales - Ferrocarril Midland	1:1

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