Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 8 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Colegios Diocesanos		Atlético Astorga

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.95	2
	3.77	2.79	2.07
	3.83	2.93	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (3.08)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	2.01 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegios Diocesanos
24.3%

Draw
31.1%

Atlético Astorga
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

33%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

33.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegios Diocesanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colegios Diocesanos's form might have worsened.

Atlético Astorga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Astorga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegios Diocesanos than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colegios Diocesanos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Colegios Diocesanos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Colegios Diocesanos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Colegios Diocesanos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.02.24	Atlético Tordesillas - Colegios Diocesanos	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Palencia	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Burgos Promesas - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Leonesa B - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Colegios Diocesanos - Almazán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 TLWLW
- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Tordesillas	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Atlético Palencia - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
20.01.24	Burgos Promesas - Atlético Astorga	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
30.09.23	Atlético Astorga - Colegios Diocesanos	3:0
02.03.22	Colegios Diocesanos - Atlético Astorga	0:1
02.10.21	Atlético Astorga - Colegios Diocesanos	2:3

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