Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Palencia CA

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.25
	1.82	2.9	4.9
	1.99	2.48	5.63
	1.98	2.6	5.02	Watch
	2.03	3.02	4.06
	1.82	2.9	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.51)	2.93 ↓ (3.6)	5.13 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
50.2%

Draw
31.7%

Palencia CA
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

25.3%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

24.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Astorga's form might have worsened.

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Astorga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 1, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

Atlético Astorga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Palencia CA is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético Astorga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Palencia CA have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético Astorga is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Atlético Astorga to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Astorga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.02.25	Atlético Astorga - Atlético Mansillés	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Atlético Astorga - Almazán	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Arandina - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTWT
- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
02.03.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Palencia CA - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Palencia CA - Briviesca	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mojados - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
19.01.25	Palencia CA - Burgos Promesas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.10.24	Palencia CA - Atlético Astorga	0:0
10.02.24	Atlético Astorga - Palencia CA	0:0
23.09.23	Palencia CA - Atlético Astorga	1:2

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