Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.78
	3.85	3.25	2.08
	3.38	2.93	2.08
	3.33	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.16)	3.16 ↓ (3.25)	2.01 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
25.4%

Draw
29%

Móstoles URJC
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

27.7%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

27.5%

51.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Móstoles URJC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Móstoles URJC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Collado Villalba is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Móstoles URJC is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Móstoles URJC is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Collado Villalba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.01.24	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Collado Villalba	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Collado Villalba - Paracuellos Antamira	1:4 ✺
03.12.23	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Siello - Collado Villalba	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWLW
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
07.01.24	Móstoles URJC - Galapagar	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Leganés B - Móstoles URJC	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Móstoles URJC - Parla	2:2 ✺
26.11.23	Alcalá - Móstoles URJC	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.03.23	Móstoles URJC - Collado Villalba	1:1
20.11.22	Collado Villalba - Móstoles URJC	1:3

Collado Villalba - Móstoles URJC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide