Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 14

Date: 17 December 2023, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Paracuellos Antamira

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.4	3.75
	1.83	3.4	3.4
	1.83	3.4	3.34
	1.91	3.35	3.58
	1.85	3.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.48)	3.38 ↑ (3.15)	3.55 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
48.2%

Draw
26.5%

Paracuellos Antamira
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

29.3%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collado Villalba's performance.

Paracuellos Antamira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paracuellos Antamira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collado Villalba that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paracuellos Antamira than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paracuellos Antamira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Collado Villalba will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Collado Villalba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Collado Villalba won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.12.23	Tres Cantos - Collado Villalba	1:3 ✺
26.11.23	Collado Villalba - Canillas	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Siello - Collado Villalba	0:4 ✺
12.11.23	Collado Villalba - Colonia Moscardó	2:3 ✺
05.11.23	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLWLL
- Paracuellos Antamira
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.12.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Galapagar	3:1 ✺
25.11.23	Leganés B - Paracuellos Antamira	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Parla	2:3 ✺
11.11.23	Alcalá - Paracuellos Antamira	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
01.04.23	Paracuellos Antamira - Collado Villalba	1:0
04.12.22	Collado Villalba - Paracuellos Antamira	4:3

Collado Villalba - Paracuellos Antamira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide