Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 29

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday


	Móstoles URJC		Torrejón

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.25	4.05
	1.7	3.54	4.54
	1.97	3.30	3.71	Watch
	1.75	3.3	4.2
	1.66	3.44	4.79
	1.82	3.27	3.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.81)	3.35 ↑ (3.25)	4.21 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Móstoles URJC
51.1%

Draw
27.2%

Torrejón
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

27.9%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

29.8%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Torrejón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-1%)

Móstoles URJC - Torrejón Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Daoud H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Herrera O. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Daoud H. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Pichin Dani ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 1.

Móstoles is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Torrejón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Móstoles is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CD Mostoles	5	3	2	0	6:2	4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.03.26	Parla - Móstoles URJC	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	México - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Móstoles URJC - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Carabanchel - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLWL
- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
29.03.26	Torrejón - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Racing Madrid - Torrejón	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Torrejón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Unión Adarve - Torrejón	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Torrejón - Villaverde San Andrés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
23.11.25	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:1
07.04.24	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:0
19.11.23	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	1:1
02.04.23	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	0:0
04.12.22	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	0:1
12.01.20	Torrejón - Móstoles URJC	3:0
25.08.19	Móstoles URJC - Torrejón	2:3

Móstoles URJC - Torrejón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide