Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Trival Valderas		Collado Villalba

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.25	1.83
	4	3.25	1.85
	3.42	3.3	2
	3.53	3.14	2.01
	4	3.25	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.55)	3.24 ↑ (3.05)	1.91 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trival Valderas
24.3%

Draw
28%

Collado Villalba
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

29.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trival Valderas's form might have worsened.

Collado Villalba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Collado Villalba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trival Valderas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Collado Villalba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Trival Valderas (4.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trival Valderas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

Trival Valderas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Collado Villalba has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Collado Villalba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Collado Villalba is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trival Valderas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Trival Valderas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
27.04.25	Galapagar - Trival Valderas	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Cala Pozuelo - Trival Valderas	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Trival Valderas - Aravaca	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	México - Trival Valderas	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Trival Valderas - Parla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTWWT
- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
26.04.25	Collado Villalba - Aravaca	4:2 ✺
16.04.25	México - Collado Villalba	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Collado Villalba - Parla	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Villaverde San Andrés - Collado Villalba	5:2 ✺
30.03.25	Collado Villalba - Las Rozas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.12.24	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	2:0
24.03.24	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	1:1
05.11.23	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:0
28.01.23	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:3
25.09.22	Collado Villalba - Trival Valderas	1:2

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