Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 10

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Collado Villalba		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	2.8
	2.62	2.69	2.84
	2.62	2.69	2.84
	2.41	3.13	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (1.97)	2.9 ↓ (3.28)	2.8 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Collado Villalba
36.4%

Draw
31.2%

Colonia Moscardó
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

27.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

26.7%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Collado Villalba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Collado Villalba's form might have worsened.

Colonia Moscardó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colonia Moscardó's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collado Villalba than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Collado Villalba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colonia Moscardó, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Collado Villalba - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Moscardó could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Collado Villalba have a series of guest games.

Collado Villalba will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CU Collado Villalba
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.23	Trival Valderas - Collado Villalba	1:0 ✺
29.10.23	Collado Villalba - Las Rozas	0:3 ✺
21.10.23	Rayo Vallecano B - Collado Villalba	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Galapagar - Collado Villalba	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Parla - Collado Villalba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWTW
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.11.23	Colonia Moscardó - Galapagar	3:1 ✺
28.10.23	Leganés B - Colonia Moscardó	2:2 ✺
22.10.23	Colonia Moscardó - Parla	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Colonia Moscardó - Torrejón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WTLLT

Collado Villalba - Colonia Moscardó: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide