Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 26Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday
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Collerense |
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Platges de Calvià |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.1 |
3.05 |
2.15 |
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 |
2.71 |
3.39 |
2.3 |
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 |
2.88 |
3.11 |
2.42 |
 Watch |
 |
2.86 |
3.24 |
2.26 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↓
(3.45) |
3.2
(3.2) |
2.28 ↑
(2.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Collerense
31.6% | Draw
28.5% | Platges de Calvià
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Platges de Calvià could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Collerense - Platges de Calvià Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 1.Both teams are struggling and far from their best. Platges de Calvià is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 | | | 02.11.25 | Platges de Calvià - Collerense | 3:0 | | 29.03.25 | Collerense - Platges de Calvià | 0:3 | | 16.11.24 | Platges de Calvià - Collerense | 1:0 | | 03.02.24 | Platges de Calvià - Collerense | 1:2 | | 17.09.23 | Collerense - Platges de Calvià | 1:1 | | 19.02.23 | Platges de Calvià - Collerense | 1:0 | | 15.10.22 | Collerense - Platges de Calvià | 1:0 |
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