The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Collerense 32.6%
Draw 28.6%
Mercadal 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.2%
28.1%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27%
27.9%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Collerense's performance.
Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mercadal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Collerense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mercadal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Collerense - Mercadal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 2.
Collerense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Mercadal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mercadal might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
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