The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Platges de Calvià 33.2%
Draw 32.2%
Formentera 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.7%
28.1%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
27.8%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Platges de Calvià's form might have worsened.
Formentera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Formentera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Platges de Calvià, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Formentera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Platges de Calvià - Formentera Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Platges de Calvià will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Vaccarini G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
89', 0 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2.
Recent form of Platges de Calvià has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Formentera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Platges de Calvià might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
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