Match Info

World Championship - Qualification - Round 17

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Australia	SBS On Demand
Bolivia	AXS, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	VG+
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 2
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	DSports 1, Inter, Simple Plus, Simple, Venevision


	Colombia		Bolivia

	1	X	2
	1.11	9.5	21	Watch
	1.12	8.75	20
	1.1	9.8	28
	1.12	10.23	25.29
	1.15	7.71	14.71	Watch
	1.15	7.5	17
	1.1	12	32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.16)	9.36 ↑ (8.07)	22.57 ↑ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Colombia
85.5%

Draw
10.2%

Bolivia
4.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.3%

11.8%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Bolivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	10.4%	6.2%

Colombia - Bolivia Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Colombia will win (votes: 39 - 86.7%). Bolivia will win (votes: 2 - 4.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colombia: 76.8% – 96.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.25 - Bolivia (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Colombia will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Colombia (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Bolivia (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (G) Atlas 4. Arias S. Bahia 23. Sanchez D. Galatasaray 3. Lucumi J. Bologna 14. Mojica J. Mallorca 6. Rios R. Benfica 16. Lerma J. Crystal Palace 11. Arias J. Wolves 10. Rodriguez J. (C) Club Leon 7. Diaz L. Bayern Munich 9. Cordoba J. Krasnodar	1. Lampe C. (G) Bolivar 3. Medina D. CSKA 1948 Sofia 5. Morales E. CF Montreal 4. Haquin L. 17. Fernandez R. Akron Togliatti 14. Robson Matheus Bolivar 16. Vaca Moreno E. Bolivar 15. Villamil G. LDU Quito 7. Miguelito America MG 13. Paniagua M. Always Ready 21. Sagredo J. Bolivar
Substitutes
5. Angulo A. UNAM Pumas 21. Campaz J. Rosario Central 8. Carrascal J. Flamengo RJ 18. Hinestroza M. Atl. Nacional 22. Mier K. (G) Cruz Azul 13. Mina Y. Cagliari 17. Moreno D. Once Caldas 1. Ospina D. (G) Atl. Nacional 15. Portilla J. Talleres Cordoba 20. Quintero J. River Plate 2. Roman A. Atl. Nacional 19. Suarez L. Sporting Lisbon	11. Algaranaz C. Kalamata 2. Arroyo D. Shakhtar 12. Banegas L. (G) The Strongest 6. Cuellar H. Always Ready 19. Lopez O. Mallorca 10. Melgar C. A. Bolivar 9. Monteiro E. FK Auda Riga 18. Rocha Y. Bolivar 20. Vaca H. Oriente Petrolero 8. Villarroel M. Blooming 23. Viscarra G. (G) A. Lima 22. Zabala L. Cancun
Coaches
Lorenzo N.	Villegas O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Arias S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Rodriguez J. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
61', Arias J. ↓, Campaz J. ↑,
63', Vaca Moreno E. 🟨,
68', Medina D. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
68', Paniagua M. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Quintero J. (A),
76', Cordoba J. 🟨,
76', Sagredo J. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
76', Villamil G. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
77', Robson Matheus ↓, Melgar C. A. ↑,
82', Lerma J. ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
82', Cordoba J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Diaz L. (A),
87', Diaz L. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 3.

In this match, Colombia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Colombia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Argentina - Colombia	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	Colombia - Peru	0:0 ✺
25.03.25	Colombia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
20.03.25	Brazil - Colombia	2:1 ✺
19.11.24	Colombia - Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTTLL
- Bolivia
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Bolivia - Chile	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Venezuela - Bolivia	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Bolivia - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Peru - Bolivia	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	Bolivia - Colombia	1:0
Friendly
15.06.24	Colombia - Bolivia	3:0
FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	Colombia - Bolivia	3:0
02.09.21	Bolivia - Colombia	1:1
23.03.17	Colombia - Bolivia	1:0
24.03.16	Bolivia - Colombia	2:3
22.03.13	Colombia - Bolivia	5:0

Colombia - Bolivia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide