Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 12

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Meléndez (Barranquilla)

Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	SBS On Demand
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV 3, Zapping
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	Indosiar, Vidio
Israel	Sport 3
Nicaragua	Tigo Sports
Norway	VG+
Panama	Tigo Sports
Peru	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Russia	Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP, SSC Sports 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Movistar Plus+ 2
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, El Canal del Futbol app, Fanatiz


	Colombia		Ecuador

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	6	Watch
	1.71	3.3	5.5
	1.69	3.45	6
	1.75	3.43	5.95
	1.71	3.44	5.75	Watch
	1.76	3.55	6.07	Watch
	1.69	3.45	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.63)	3.45 ↓ (3.67)	5.9 ↓ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colombia
56%

Draw
27.8%

Ecuador
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

26%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colombia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Colombia - Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Colombia will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Ecuador will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colombia: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vargas C. (G) Atlas 21. Munoz D. Crystal Palace 3. Lucumi J. Bologna 23. Sanchez D. Galatasaray 17. Mojica J. Mallorca 16. Portilla J. Talleres Cordoba 6. Rios R. Palmeiras 11. Arias J. Fluminense 10. Rodriguez J. (C) Rayo Vallecano 7. Diaz L. Liverpool 9. Cordoba J. Krasnodar	1. Galindez H. (G) Huracan 16. Ordonez J. Club Brugge 6. Pacho W. (C) PSG 3. Hincapie P. Bayer Leverkusen 7. Estupinan P. Brighton 19. Plata G. Flamengo RJ 23. Caicedo M. Chelsea 21. Franco A. Atletico-MG 20. Vite P. Vancouver Whitecaps 17. Minda A. Cercle Brugge 13. Valencia E. Internacional
Substitutes
4. Arias S. Bahia 2. Borja C. Club America 19. Borre R. Internacional 8. Carrascal J. Dynamo Moscow 5. Castano K. Krasnodar 14. Duran J. Aston Villa 18. Gomez C. A. Rennes 13. Mina Y. Cagliari 22. Montero A. (G) Millonarios 1. Ospina D. (G) Atl. Nacional 20. Quintero J. Racing Club 15. Uribe M. Al-Sadd	14. Arreaga X. New England Revolution 18. Arroyo K. Independiente del Valle 8. Gruezo C. San Jose Earthquakes 4. Jhoanner Chavez Lens 15. Mercado J. AVS 10. Paez K. Independiente del Valle 5. Ramirez C. Ferencvaros 12. Ramirez M. (G) Independiente del Valle 11. Rodriguez K. Royale Union SG 2. Torres F. Corinthians 22. Valle G. (G) LDU Quito 9. Yeboah J. Venezia
Coaches
Lorenzo N.	Beccacece S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Valencia E. ⚽, Franco A. (A),
34', Hincapie P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Vite P. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
46', Valencia E. ↓, Gruezo C. ↑,
54', Gruezo C. 🟨,
59', Arias J. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
59', Rios R. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
60', Portilla J. 🟨,
60', Minda A. ↓, Jhoanner Chavez ↑,
71', Beccacece S. 🟨,
73', Duran J. 🟨,
79', Plata G. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
85', Caicedo M. 🟨,
86', Cordoba J. ↓, Borre R. ↑,
90+2', Estupinan P. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
90+3', Mojica J. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
90+5', Lucumi J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colombia won 2.

In this match Colombia is indisputable favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Colombia won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colombia
FIFA World Cup
15.11.24	Uruguay - Colombia	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Colombia - Chile	4:0 ✺
10.10.24	Bolivia - Colombia	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Colombia - Argentina	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Peru - Colombia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWT
- Ecuador
FIFA World Cup
14.11.24	Ecuador - Bolivia	4:0 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
10.10.24	Ecuador - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
10.09.24	Ecuador - Peru	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Brazil - Ecuador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.10.23	Ecuador - Colombia	0:0
14.10.21	Colombia - Ecuador	0:0
Copa America
13.06.21	Colombia - Ecuador	1:0
FIFA World Cup
17.11.20	Ecuador - Colombia	6:1
Friendly
19.11.19	Ecuador - Colombia	0:1
FIFA World Cup
28.03.17	Ecuador - Colombia	0:2
29.03.16	Colombia - Ecuador	3:1

Colombia - Ecuador: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide