Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 14

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de El Alto (El Alto)

Referee: Aragon A. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bolivia	FBF Play, Inter Satelital, Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Caracol TV, RCN Television
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Israel	Sport 4
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	GEN
Peru	Latina, Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App, Zapping Sports
Uruguay	Antel TV, AUFTV, Cardinal TV, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	BYM Sports, Venevision
World	Onefootball


	Bolivia		Uruguay

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.65	3.1	2.85
	2.76	3.16	2.7	Watch
	2.82	3.26	2.83	Watch
	2.6	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.1)	3.12 ↓ (3.37)	2.8 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolivia
35.3%

Draw
30.6%

Uruguay
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.4%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolivia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bolivia's form might have worsened.

Uruguay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Uruguay's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.1%	10.2%	85.7%

Bolivia - Uruguay Predictions

Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Bolivia will win (votes: 4 - 4.1%). Uruguay will win (votes: 84 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 10.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 78.8% – 92.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Viscarra G. (G) A. Lima 3. Medina D. Always Ready 4. Haquin L. (C) Mushuc Runa 19. Morales E. Atlanta United 14. Robson Matheus Bolivar 15. Villamil G. LDU Quito 6. Cuellar H. Always Ready 21. Sagredo J. Bolivar 10. Vaca R. Bolivar 7. Miguelito America MG 9. Abrego V. Nacional Potosi	1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ 2. Gimenez J. M. (C) Atl. Madrid 3. Caceres S. Club America 16. Olivera M. Napoli 17. Olivera C. Gremio 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 6. Bentancur R. Tottenham 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon 21. Vinas F. R. Oviedo 7. Aguirre R. Club America
Substitutes
11. Algaranaz C. Kalamata 2. Arroyo D. Shakhtar 12. Banegas L. (G) The Strongest 16. Cespedes B. Yverdon 18. Chavez Cruz L. L. Al Taawon 17. Fernandez R. Akron Togliatti 8. Ferrufino R. Always Ready 13. Paniagua M. Always Ready 5. Paz L. Bolivar 20. Rocha Y. Bolivar 1. Uraezana B. (G) Blooming 22. Zabala L. Cancun	19. Alvarez A. Elche 4. Araujo R. Barcelona 14. Fonseca N. Club Leon 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 18. Martinez E. Palmeiras 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 9. Nunez D. Liverpool 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 22. Piquerez J. Palmeiras 10. Rodriguez B. Club America 15. Valverde F. Real Madrid
Coaches
Villegas O.	Bielsa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Ugarte M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Robson Matheus ↓, Paniagua M. ↑,
46', Sagredo J. ↓, Fernandez R. ↑,
46', Olivera C. ↓, Pellistri F. ↑,
46', Aguirre R. ↓, Valverde F. ↑,
46', Vinas F. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
54', Bentancur R. 🟨,
56', Olivera M. ↓, Piquerez J. ↑,
61', Medina D. 🟨,
62', Varela G. ↓, Nandez N. ↑,
62', Abrego V. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
72', Medina D. ↓, Rocha Y. ↑,
81', Cuellar H. ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolivia won 1.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bolivia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:21 (average 1.4:2.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolivia
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Peru - Bolivia	3:1 ✺
19.11.24	Bolivia - Paraguay	2:2 ✺
14.11.24	Ecuador - Bolivia	4:0 ✺
15.10.24	Argentina - Bolivia	6:0 ✺
10.10.24	Bolivia - Colombia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLW
- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Uruguay - Argentina	0:1 ✺
19.11.24	Brazil - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
15.11.24	Uruguay - Colombia	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
27.06.24	Uruguay - Bolivia	5:0
FIFA World Cup
21.11.23	Uruguay - Bolivia	3:0
16.11.21	Bolivia - Uruguay	3:0
05.09.21	Uruguay - Bolivia	4:2
Copa America
24.06.21	Bolivia - Uruguay	0:2
FIFA World Cup
10.10.17	Uruguay - Bolivia	4:2
08.10.15	Bolivia - Uruguay	0:2

Bolivia - Uruguay: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide