Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 11

Date: 15 November 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:00	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
Bosnia And Herzegovina	01:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	21:00	SporTV
Croatia	01:00	Arena Sport 2
Ecuador	19:00	El Canal del Futbol
Israel	02:00	Sport 2
Norway	01:00	VG+
Paraguay	21:00	GEN
Peru	19:00	Movistar Deportes, Movistar TV App
Poland	01:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	00:00	Sport TV1
Serbia	01:00	Arena Premium 3
Slovenia	01:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium
Spain	01:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+ 1
Ukraine	02:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
Uruguay	21:00	Antel TV, AUFTV, Eventos Montecable, Flow, NS Eventos, TCC 2
Venezuela	20:00	BYM Sports, Venevision
International	00:00	El Canal del Futbol app


	Uruguay		Colombia

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.8	Watch
	2.15	3	3.7
	2.18	3.1	3.7
	2.21	3.05	3.99
	2.13	3.12	3.83	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.2	3.26	3.93	Watch
	2.18	3.1	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.1)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)	3.76 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay
43.9%

Draw
30.7%

Colombia
25.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.2%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

The chances for Colombia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.9%	36.4%	22.7%

Uruguay - Colombia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Uruguay will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Colombia will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uruguay: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) Internacional 8. Nandez N. Al Qadisiya 2. Gimenez J. M. (C) Atl. Madrid 16. Olivera M. Napoli 3. Saracchi M. Boca Juniors 6. Bentancur R. Tottenham 15. Valverde F. Real Madrid 11. Pellistri F. Panathinaikos 7. Aguirre R. Club America 20. Araujo M. Sporting Lisbon 9. Nunez D. Liverpool	12. Vargas C. (G) Atlas 21. Munoz D. Crystal Palace 23. Sanchez D. Galatasaray 3. Lucumi J. Bologna 17. Mojica J. Mallorca 6. Rios R. Palmeiras 16. Portilla J. Talleres Cordoba 11. Arias J. Fluminense 20. Quintero J. Racing Club 7. Diaz L. (C) Liverpool 14. Duran J. Aston Villa
Substitutes
4. Fonseca N. River Plate 12. Israel F. (G) Sporting Lisbon 22. Marichal N. Dynamo Moscow 23. Mele S. (G) Junior 17. Olivera C. Los Angeles FC 10. Rodriguez B. Club America 14. Rodriguez J. Vasco 21. Torres F. Orlando City 5. Ugarte M. Manchester United 13. Varela G. Flamengo RJ	4. Arias S. Bahia 18. Borja C. Club America 19. Borre R. Internacional 5. Castano K. Krasnodar 2. Cuesta C. Genk 9. Gomez C. A. Rennes 8. Gomez S. Coritiba 13. Mina Y. Cagliari 22. Montero A. (G) Millonarios 1. Ospina D. (G) Atl. Nacional 10. Rodriguez J. Rayo Vallecano 15. Uribe M. Al-Sadd
Coaches
Bielsa M.	Lorenzo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Quintero J. 🟨,
26', Bentancur R. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽,
37', Aguirre R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, Sanchez D. (Own goal),
58', Duran J. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Aguirre R. ⚽, Olivera M. (A),
68', Aguirre R. ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
69', Valverde F. 🟨,
72', Quintero J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
72', Duran J. ↓, Borre R. ↑,
79', Saracchi M. ↓, Varela G. ↑,
80', Nandez N. 🟨,
82', Arias J. ↓, Gomez C. A. ↑,
90+5', Portilla J. ↓, Mina Y. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Gomez C. A. ⚽, Mojica J. (A),
90+11', 3 - 2, Ugarte M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 1.

Uruguay will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Uruguay won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Uruguay - Ecuador	0:0 ✺
11.10.24	Peru - Uruguay	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Venezuela - Uruguay	0:0 ✺
06.09.24	Uruguay - Paraguay	0:0 ✺
Friendly
01.09.24	Guatemala - Uruguay	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTTT
- Colombia
FIFA World Cup
15.10.24	Colombia - Chile	4:0 ✺
10.10.24	Bolivia - Colombia	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Colombia - Argentina	2:1 ✺
06.09.24	Peru - Colombia	1:1 ✺
Copa America
14.07.24	Argentina - Colombia	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa America
10.07.24	Uruguay - Colombia	0:1
FIFA World Cup
12.10.23	Colombia - Uruguay	2:2
07.10.21	Uruguay - Colombia	0:0
Copa America
03.07.21	Uruguay - Colombia	0:1 penalties
FIFA World Cup
13.11.20	Colombia - Uruguay	0:3
11.10.16	Colombia - Uruguay	2:2
13.10.15	Uruguay - Colombia	3:0

Uruguay - Colombia